There’s no concrete evidence that those 16 trades were made by the same person; they’re just inferring it. There is no account to track, from what I can tell- just anonymous unlinked trades
I think they’re also happening on various platforms/markets/exchanges. The oil one referenced here was on a commodity futures exchange.
Also OP’s title is misleading. The Trump family doesn’t own a prediction market, but they do influence Polymarket and Kalshi, and there is a planned “Truth Predict” that’s going to be like Polymarket but baked into Truth Social, but that doesn’t exist yet
There’s no concrete evidence that those 16 trades were made by the same person; they’re just inferring it. There is no account to track, from what I can tell- just anonymous unlinked trades
I think they’re also happening on various platforms/markets/exchanges. The oil one referenced here was on a commodity futures exchange.
Also OP’s title is misleading. The Trump family doesn’t own a prediction market, but they do influence Polymarket and Kalshi, and there is a planned “Truth Predict” that’s going to be like Polymarket but baked into Truth Social, but that doesn’t exist yetMy bad, I misremembered the connections between the Trump crime family and the prediction markets.
https://www.livemint.com/companies/news/us-iran-war-prediction-markets-benefit-who-owns-donald-trump-jr-leading-prediction-firms-polymarket-kalshi-nyt-report-11772336769064.html
I’ll change my title 😆