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Cake day: February 27th, 2026

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  • Call me a pessimist, but I doubt that the US will pull out of NATO. NATO grants them immense strategic leverage, and the ability to define the borders of its empire by placing troops in key countries. The ability to rapidly engage in conflicts and project its power. I highly doubt that the US will ever pull out - even if the angry orange shit stained child decides to. It would be a nail in the coffin, and the Pentagon knows it.

    Your second point, of the US turning back to normal… I doubt it. You have 77M people who voted for this. They are openly hostile towards their enemies. I’d argue that hatred and fascism have already build a comfortable nest inside their heads. Back in the days, German fascism was most effectively ended by total and unconditional defeat + the following occupation. I don’t see a way how masses of people de-fascistify in a soft way. But then again: maybe I’m a pessimist.






  • IMO the Trump Administration is just projecting all the time. If MAGA says “Those ppl want to do this and that” it’s reasonable to assume that “this and that” is actually what MAGA themselves want to do very badly. Examples:

    JD Vance: “This is one of the worst examples of foreign interference in an election that I have ever seen in Europe.”

    -> The US is literally intervening in Hungary’s election itself. Vance appeared in Budapest to back Viktor Orbán and said he was “here to help.” Plus, they made it a part of their National Security Agenda to push for some sort of “change” within the EU to make us align with them.

    Donald Trump: “You’re gambling with World War Three.”

    -> The US is itself escalating everything. Trump has paired this rhetoric with coercive pressure on Ukraine and, more recently, with ultimatums toward Iran, including threats of devastating strikes.

    Donald Trump: “Law firms are weaponizing the legal system.”

    -> The US is now itself using state power punitively against legal opponents. Trump’s executive orders targeted major law firms and courts described the measures as unconstitutional / retaliatory.

    Trump administration officials: “Europe needs more free speech, and Washington will fund free speech initiatives there”

    -> The US is itself pressuring speech / media. The administration pursued measures against NPR, PBS, and the AP while presenting itself abroad as an anti-censorship actor.

    They promised “Freedom against ideological coercion”

    -> and they immediately started imposing ideological coercion of their own by interfering with universities.

    In other words: listen to what they say “the others” will do. They will do it themselves.


  • There are some indirekt, but significant points.

    • EVs can use electricity to make fuels redundant
    • Electricity can be used to create artificial fuels, which can be used for regular vehicles
    • Regarding the transportation market, fossil fuels and electricity are in direkt competition for the cash of the consumers. For years, fossil fuel prices could climb as much as they like - there was hardly any alternative. Today however, FF can only get more expensive until people start switching to EVs. More EVs = more market pressure on FF prices due to reduced demand.
    • Less exposure to geopolitical crises. FF prices react strongly to wars, production cuts, international tensions, etc. An energy system with a high share of renewable energy is more resilient. It reduces the risk of extreme energy price shocks, which often also drive up fuel prices.